| Most of the scenario studies done by Barbara Heinzen have been proprietary with four notable exceptions from Africa, a corporate study of the HIV/AIDS epidemics in Southern Africa and three public domain scenario studies done with the Society for International Development in East Africa.
Impact of HIV/AIDS in Southern Africa
The 2001 study of the impact of HIV/AIDS on markets in Southern Africa was done for Shell Southern Africa to help develop the company’s response to the HIV and AIDS epidemics, including an understanding of their strategic implications. Once the work was done, the company agreed that the work should be publicly available on the web, through the Red Ribbon portal, as well as through selected presentations outside the company. A copy of the final report appears here on the Barbara Heinzen website, under “Epidemics and HIV/AIDS”.
In the Shell HIV study, Barbara Heinzen was the lead researcher and coordinator of the project, but not at all the sole author. The Health Economics and HIV/AIDS Research Division (HEARD) at the University of Kwa-Zulu Natal were full partners, as were individuals from the strategy and health departments of Shell Southern Africa.
Futures of Kenya, Tanzania & Uganda
The other three publicly available scenario studies were all done in collaboration with the Society for International Development, SID, in East Africa between 1998 and 2004. All three of these studies are available through the SID website, and their web addresses appear below. These studies were designed from the start to encourage public discussion and reflection and are leading examples of this kind of work.
Barbara Heinzen’s role in the SID projects was more limited than her work with Shell. In Kenya, the coordination of the project was done by the Institute of Economic Affairs, Nairobi, while the local chapters of SID in Tanzania and Uganda acted as coordinators in these two countries. Barbara Heinzen was only responsible for process design and facilitation, as well as working with the editorial team to develop and review the final text and presentations. Most of the work was done by the East African teams. A detailed description of the organisation, participation and funding of the East Africa scenario studies appears on the SID websites.
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