Most of Barbara Heinzen’s projects have used scenario building as a key tool, but many of the steps are suitable for other assignments. Once a project begins, the first task is to establish the group’s natural agenda – the issues that require research and thinking. This can be done through internal interviews or arts-led workshop exercises. This work highlights what the group knows or assumes about the future. Subsequent research then tests assumptions and expands the knowledge base. This research is used to inform scenario stories which in turn often require more research to check the plausibility of scenario events. Once the stories are written, they are tested with outsiders and used to stimulate discussions about those judgements facing a business, an organisation or a nation.
A more detailed description of these steps can be found in (2007b) Scenario cycle: simple steps, hard to do". |
